
In
the last few months, government and industry alike have committed extensive
effort to evaluating the current state of Canadian agriculture and developing
potential solutions for an industry that most agree is in serious need of new
direction and focus. MP Bob Speller chaired the Prime Ministers Task Force
on Future Opportunities in Farming, a group that released an interim report
this past spring.
Summer saw the release of both Canadian Farmers at Risk, a report
of the Senate Committee on Agriculture and Forestry, and The Future Role
of Government in Agriculture from the House Standing Committee on Agriculture
and Agri-Food.
These reports, based in large part on input gathered from farm and other stakeholder
groups, share many common themes, not the least of which is the need for significant
re-investment in Canadian agriculture in order to ensure its viable and prosperous
future.
As this editorial is written, Ontarios Agricultural Odyssey Group, a group
of farm leaders representing a broad cross-section of Ontarios agricultural
diversity, has just released its blueprint for the evolution of the industry
(see Newsletter in this issue). Although analysis of the reports far-ranging
recommendations will take some time, the premises on which it is based are indisputable.
Among them: agriculture will increasingly be seen as a provider of general societal
benefits (especially in the area of environment); renewed federal and political
commitment to the industry is essential if it is to achieve its potential; and,
when it comes to the development of sound programs, there is no one
size fits all approach to Canadian or Ontario agriculture.
Its this final premise that the new Agricultural Policy Framework (APF),
to be implemented as of April 1, 2003, appears to ignore with its insistence
on a single approach to government-funded risk management policies through whole-farm
programs such as NISA. Such programs make the assumption that all agricultural
sectors operate in the same business environment nothing could be further
from the truth. Different sectors face different challenges, many of them the
direct result of the agricultural policies of our major trading partners, particularly
the U.S.
And yet the Framework Agreement for the APF signed by provincial, territorial
and federal governments is adamant in its denial of the need for sector-specific
or commodity-specific support programs for grains and oilseeds. At the same
time, all levels of government aggressively defend the supply management system,
which is recognized within the APF as a risk management tool even though many
of the grounds upon which sector-specific companion programs are rejected could
be applied equally as well. A recent meeting between OCPA representatives and
AAFC personnel failed to resolve the apparent disparity.
If the APF is to achieve its primary goal ensuring the prosperity and
the competitiveness of the sector in an increasingly complex global food
market (quoted directly from APF documentation) it must first recognize
that Canadas agricultural policy cannot exist in a vacuum, but must instead
embrace sufficient flexibility to respond to the pressures imposed by outside
forces.
And for the grains and oilseed sector, that means companion programs that can
offset non-production related risks outside the control of individual producers.
A NISA-type program alone is insufficient: elsewhere in this issue, OCPA Economist
and Market Analyst Brian Doidge evaluates the potential impact of sole reliance
on NISA for the grains and oilseed sector and presents some possible solutions.
The potential ramifications of other political decisions must be evaluated as
well. Prime Minister Chrétien recently announced his intention that Canada
will sign, and ratify, the Kyoto Accord to reduce GHG emissions. President Bush
rejected the accord more than a year ago, claiming that it would cost millions
of American jobs. Although he also put in place a program of tax incentives
to encourage voluntary action, attorney generals from 11 U.S. states now claim
that current U.S. policies actually promote an increase in GHG emissions. Not
our concern, you say? Will Canadian farmers face increased regulation and production
requirements as a result of our Kyoto commitments? Such a likely outcome would
increase the competitive divide between Canadian and U.S. farmers still further.
Canadas expected ratification in the near future of the Biosafety Protocol
raises a similar set of issues. The U.S. which, according to recent estimates,
accounts for more than 80% of our foreign trade - has not and will not sign
the Protocol, an agreement designed to regulate the cross-border transport of
genetically modified organisms (GMOs). Should Canada ratify, can the U.S. reasonably
be expected to meet the demands of the agreement in order to send their goods
across our borders in what is theoretically a free trade environment?
There are issues of sovereignty and independence of course, perhaps even of
moral right, and the sceptre of public opinion weighs heavily on political decision-making,
but the need to maintain a viable business environment for agriculture must
not be ignored either. With the enormous efforts expended to date all
that introspection and research, consultation and reporting and with
the near-universal recognition in work done to date of the unique challenges
faced by Canadas grain and oilseed sector as a result of outside forces,
we would have hoped that message would attain greater resonance.